Probable end of a cycle of decline on the Nasdaq index:
Seven weeks consecutive fall helped the Nasdaq index to make a double bottom in 2167. This level is close to our ultimate goal of January dernier.La fall of fifteen dollars light of Crude Oil to move level of 147.27 to 132.10 validate that our strategy of consolidation in the oil promote our anticipation bullish on the Nasdaq. A slight and immediate correction of the index in the medium located on the levels of 2260 to achieve the levels of 2294 or 2225 would not call this strategy into question.
The objectives of rebound:
The objectives of short-term rebound are located on the levels of 2310, 2355, 2400 or 2450. These points represent the Fibonacci ratios of the latest wave of decline since the 2551 level of 19 May 2008 at the lowest located on the level of 2167 in meeting this week. Our scenario calls for a rebound goal on the level of 2400. This embodies the Fibonacci ratio 0618 and coincides with the resistance of the wedge intié in November 2006 in the image of the graph attached.
Up to 2600:
Then a return on the level of 2350 would allow the index to correct this growth to start to rise and reach the level of 2600. This represents the ratio of the 0618 fall of the index in 2861 to 2,007 in October 2154 to March 2008. To achieve the index will cross the resistances located on the levels of 2293, 2330, 2352, 2376, 2395 and stronger on 2420. Our medium-term objective placed on the level of 2600 also represents the high base of a wide channel septemnre initiated in 2007, passing through the bottom of meetings in November 2007 and the highest recent sessions last May.
The limits of our strategy:
Conversely, back below the level of 2200 would put at risk our scenario, or even invalidate below the level boundary lower our wadge located on the levels of 2100.